| # | Bet & Game | Edge Score |
Qty | Cost Profit |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Detroit Pistons +3.5
NBA
Detroit Pistons @ Cleveland Cavaliers
|
+23.6%
—
|
21 10.8% |
$10.84
+$10.16
|
|
Robinhood Action — Detroit Pistons +3.5
Contract price (est.)¢49.6
Buy contracts21
Total cost (incl. commission)$10.84
Profit if win+$10.16
Loss if lose-$10.84
Expected value
+$4.45
|
||||
| 2 |
Los Angeles Angels
MLB
Los Angeles Angels @ Cleveland Guardians
|
+16.4%
—
|
11 6.5% |
$6.54
+$4.46
|
|
Robinhood Action — Los Angeles Angels
Contract price (est.)¢57.5
Buy contracts11
Total cost (incl. commission)$6.54
Profit if win+$4.46
Loss if lose-$6.54
Expected value
+$1.19
|
||||
| 3 |
Over 213.5
NBA
Detroit Pistons @ Cleveland Cavaliers
|
+12.5%
—
|
10 5.4% |
$5.43
+$4.57
|
|
Robinhood Action — Over 213.5
Contract price (est.)¢52.3
Buy contracts10
Total cost (incl. commission)$5.43
Profit if win+$4.57
Loss if lose-$5.43
Expected value
+$1.05
|
||||
| 4 |
Oklahoma City Thunder -11.5
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder @ Los Angeles Lakers
|
+11.8%
—
|
9 4.7% |
$4.66
+$4.34
|
|
Robinhood Action — Oklahoma City Thunder -11.5
Contract price (est.)¢49.8
Buy contracts9
Total cost (incl. commission)$4.66
Profit if win+$4.34
Loss if lose-$4.66
Expected value
+$0.89
|
||||
| 5 |
New York Yankees (ML)
MLB
New York Yankees @ Baltimore Orioles
|
+11.2%
—
|
9 5.4% |
$5.42
+$3.58
|
|
Robinhood Action — New York Yankees (ML)
Contract price (est.)¢58.2
Buy contracts9
Total cost (incl. commission)$5.42
Profit if win+$3.58
Loss if lose-$5.42
Expected value
+$0.81
|
||||
| P1 |
Detroit Pistons +3.5 + Over 213.5
Parlay
|
+21.3%
—
|
11 3.1% |
$3.07
+$7.93
|
|
Robinhood Action — Detroit Pistons +3.5 + Over 213.5
Parlay contract price (est.)¢25.9
Buy contracts11
Total cost (incl. commission)$3.07
Profit if win+$7.93
|
||||
| P2 |
Detroit Pistons (ML) + Oklahoma City Thunder (ML)
Parlay
|
+23.1%
—
|
11 3.8% |
$3.83
+$7.17
|
|
Robinhood Action — Detroit Pistons (ML) + Oklahoma City Thunder (ML)
Parlay contract price (est.)¢32.9
Buy contracts11
Total cost (incl. commission)$3.83
Profit if win+$7.17
|
||||
| Prop Type | Settled | Hit Rate | Avg Proj | Avg Actual | Avg Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Points | 41 | 36.6% | 21.5 | 18.1 | -3.4 |
| Rebounds | 29 | 44.8% | 9.6 | 8.3 | -1.3 |
| Assists | 11 | 36.4% | 8.3 | 6.9 | -1.4 |
| Strikeouts | 21 | 47.6% | 6.2 | 5.0 | -1.1 |
| Hits | 25 | 72.0% | 1.1 | 1.3 | +0.2 |
| HRR | 29 | 37.9% | 4.1 | 1.1 | -3.0 |
| Total Bases | 8 | 25.0% | 4.3 | 1.5 | -2.8 |
| Steals | 2 | 0.0% | 2.7 | 1.0 | -1.7 |
| Blocks | 4 | 50.0% | 2.8 | 1.2 | -1.5 |
| Edge bucket | Bets | Model win% | Actual win% | Delta |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3–8% | 3 | 55.0% | 100.0% | +45.0% |
| 8–15% | 19 | 60.1% | 61.1% | +1.0% |
| 15%+ | 85 | 69.7% | 54.1% | -15.6% |