| # | Bet & Game | Edge Score |
Qty | Cost Profit |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Houston Astros (Moneyline)
MLB
Houston Astros @ Baltimore Orioles
3:36 PM PDT
|
+32.7%
—
|
30 14.7% |
$14.69
+$15.31
|
| 2 |
Milwaukee Brewers +1.5 (Spread)
MLB
Arizona Diamondbacks @ Milwaukee Brewers
4:41 PM PDT
|
+31.4%
—
|
30 12.4% |
$12.39
+$17.61
|
| 3 |
Colorado Rockies (Moneyline)
MLB
Colorado Rockies @ Cincinnati Reds
3:41 PM PDT
|
+29.3%
—
|
27 11.8% |
$11.81
+$15.19
|
| 4 |
Pittsburgh Pirates +1.5 (Spread)
MLB
St. Louis Cardinals @ Pittsburgh Pirates
3:41 PM PDT
|
+29.0%
—
|
27 11.2% |
$11.15
+$15.85
|
| 5 |
Orlando Magic +10.5 (Spread)
NBA
Orlando Magic @ Detroit Pistons
4:10 PM PDT
|
+25.9%
—
|
23 12.0% |
$12.03
+$10.97
|
| P1 |
Houston Astros (Moneyline) + Colorado Rockies (Moneyline)
Parlay
Houston Astros @ Baltimore Orioles / Colorado Rockies @ Cincinnati Reds
|
+37.0%
—
|
25 5.4% |
$5.40
+$19.60
|
| P2 |
Orlando Magic +10.5 (Spread) + Under 211.5 (Total)
Parlay
Orlando Magic @ Detroit Pistons / Orlando Magic @ Detroit Pistons
|
+22.5%
—
|
12 3.4% |
$3.41
+$8.59
|
| Prop Type | Settled | Hit Rate | Avg Proj | Avg Actual | Avg Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Points | 8 | 12.5% | 27.9 | 21.0 | -6.9 |
| Rebounds | 9 | 55.6% | 11.7 | 10.4 | -1.3 |
| Assists | 4 | 25.0% | 9.7 | 9.0 | -0.7 |
| Strikeouts | 11 | 36.4% | 6.0 | 4.6 | -1.4 |
| Hits | 2 | 100.0% | 1.0 | 1.5 | +0.5 |
| Edge bucket | Bets | Model win% | Actual win% | Delta |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3–8% | 3 | 55.0% | 100.0% | +45.0% |
| 8–15% | 2 | 49.2% | 0.0% | -49.2% |
| 15%+ | 19 | 74.9% | 42.1% | -32.8% |