| # | Bet & Game | Edge Score |
Qty | Cost Profit |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Pittsburgh Pirates +1.5 (Spread)
MLB
Cincinnati Reds @ Pittsburgh Pirates
|
+31.2%
—
|
29 13.0% |
$13.03
+$15.97
|
| 2 |
Detroit Tigers +1.5 (Spread)
MLB
Texas Rangers @ Detroit Tigers
|
+27.6%
—
|
25 11.4% |
$11.40
+$13.60
|
| 3 |
Seattle Mariners +1.5 (Spread)
MLB
Kansas City Royals @ Seattle Mariners
|
+24.1%
—
|
22 10.1% |
$10.05
+$11.95
|
| 4 |
Houston Astros (Moneyline)
MLB
Houston Astros @ Boston Red Sox
|
+23.2%
—
|
22 8.8% |
$8.83
+$13.17
|
| 5 |
Chicago Cubs (Moneyline)
MLB
Arizona Diamondbacks @ Chicago Cubs
|
+18.4%
—
|
17 10.4% |
$10.40
+$6.60
|
| P1 |
Houston Astros (Moneyline) + Chicago Cubs (Moneyline)
Parlay
Houston Astros @ Boston Red Sox / Arizona Diamondbacks @ Chicago Cubs
|
+25.0%
—
|
15 3.7% |
$3.68
+$11.32
|
| P2 |
Colorado Rockies +1.5 (Spread) + Over 9.5 (Total)
Parlay
Atlanta Braves @ Colorado Rockies / Atlanta Braves @ Colorado Rockies
|
+18.3%
—
|
9 2.6% |
$2.58
+$6.42
|
| Prop Type | Settled | Hit Rate | Avg Proj | Avg Actual | Avg Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Points | 19 | 31.6% | 27.0 | 23.5 | -3.4 |
| Rebounds | 17 | 47.1% | 11.2 | 9.8 | -1.4 |
| Assists | 7 | 28.6% | 9.9 | 7.7 | -2.2 |
| Strikeouts | 14 | 35.7% | 6.0 | 4.4 | -1.7 |
| Hits | 21 | 76.2% | 1.0 | 1.2 | +0.2 |
| Edge bucket | Bets | Model win% | Actual win% | Delta |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3–8% | 3 | 55.0% | 100.0% | +45.0% |
| 8–15% | 4 | 48.7% | 33.3% | -15.4% |
| 15%+ | 43 | 71.2% | 51.2% | -20.0% |