Daily Betting Report

Monday, April 27, 2026 · Generated April 27, 2026 at 10:57 AM PDT
NBA: 3 games  |  MLB: 8 games  |  Budget: $100
⚡ Pick Changes Since Morning Run
⚡ Bet updated: 'Minnesota Twins' (Seattle Mariners @ Minnesota Twins, +4.6% edge) → 'Los Angeles Angels' (Los Angeles Angels @ Chicago White Sox, +16.7% edge). Reason: new bet 'Los Angeles Angels' (Los Angeles Angels @ Chicago White Sox) has 16.7% edge
⚡ Bet updated: 'Minnesota Twins +1.5' (Seattle Mariners @ Minnesota Twins, +12.3% edge) → 'Toronto Blue Jays' (Boston Red Sox @ Toronto Blue Jays, +16.5% edge). Reason: new bet 'Toronto Blue Jays' (Boston Red Sox @ Toronto Blue Jays) has 16.5% edge
Singles (top 5 by edge)
Minnesota Timberwolves ↓
NBA  Moneyline  ·  Minnesota Timberwolves @ Denver Nuggets
🕐 7:40 PM PDT
HIGH
Market
19.8%
Model
64.1%
Edge
+44.3%
Key Signals
Home court advantage: Denver Nuggets (+2%)
Rating edge: Minnesota Timberwolves (blended NetRtg diff -6.6)
🏆 Playoffs: defensive intensity higher, recent form weighted 55%
Denver Nuggets injury impact (-2.9%)
Minnesota Timberwolves injuries benefit Denver Nuggets (+4.4%)
Research & Stats
Denver Nuggets: OffRtg 122.1 | DefRtg 116.9 | NetRtg 5.2
Minnesota Timberwolves: OffRtg 118.0 | DefRtg 114.6 | NetRtg 3.4
Denver Nuggets last 14 days: NetRtg -6.8 | Win% 25%
Minnesota Timberwolves last 14 days: NetRtg 6.8 | Win% 75%
Rest days — Denver Nuggets: 1 | Minnesota Timberwolves: 1
Playoff adjustment: scoring/pace factors applied to totals model
⚕ Denver Nuggets — Aaron Gordon (F): DAY-TO-DAY
⚕ Denver Nuggets — Peyton Watson (G): OUT
⚕ Minnesota Timberwolves — Donte DiVincenzo (G): OUT
⚕ Minnesota Timberwolves — Anthony Edwards (G): OUT
Robinhood Action
Contract price (est.)¢19.3
Buy contracts66
Total cost (incl. commission)$14.03
Profit if win+$51.97
Loss if lose-$14.03
Expected value +$29.31
Minnesota Timberwolves +11.5 ↓
NBA  Spread  ·  Minnesota Timberwolves @ Denver Nuggets
🕐 7:40 PM PDT
HIGH
Market
50.3%
Model
88.2%
Edge
+37.9%
Key Signals
Home court advantage: Denver Nuggets (+2%)
Rating edge: Minnesota Timberwolves (blended NetRtg diff -6.6)
🏆 Playoffs: defensive intensity higher, recent form weighted 55%
Denver Nuggets injury impact (-2.9%)
Minnesota Timberwolves injuries benefit Denver Nuggets (+4.4%)
Research & Stats
Denver Nuggets: OffRtg 122.1 | DefRtg 116.9 | NetRtg 5.2
Minnesota Timberwolves: OffRtg 118.0 | DefRtg 114.6 | NetRtg 3.4
Denver Nuggets last 14 days: NetRtg -6.8 | Win% 25%
Minnesota Timberwolves last 14 days: NetRtg 6.8 | Win% 75%
Rest days — Denver Nuggets: 1 | Minnesota Timberwolves: 1
Playoff adjustment: scoring/pace factors applied to totals model
⚕ Denver Nuggets — Aaron Gordon (F): DAY-TO-DAY
⚕ Denver Nuggets — Peyton Watson (G): OUT
⚕ Minnesota Timberwolves — Donte DiVincenzo (G): OUT
⚕ Minnesota Timberwolves — Anthony Edwards (G): OUT
Robinhood Action
Contract price (est.)¢50.3
Buy contracts35
Total cost (incl. commission)$18.30
Profit if win+$16.70
Loss if lose-$18.30
Expected value +$12.56
Under 9.0 ↓
MLB  Total  ·  Seattle Mariners @ Minnesota Twins
🕐 4:41 PM PDT
HIGH
Market
51.0%
Model
74.6%
Edge
+23.6%
Key Signals
Connor Prielipp FIP: 0.2 | K/9: 13.5
Luis Castillo FIP: 3.5 | K/9: 9.0
Minnesota Twins injury impact (-5.8%)
Seattle Mariners injury impact (-4.3%)
🌡️ Cool (56°F) at Minneapolis — slight run suppression (−0.2 runs)
🌧️ 100% precipitation chance at Minneapolis (rain likely) — monitor for delays/postponement
⚠ Minnesota Twins schedule load: 6 games in 7 days
⚠ Seattle Mariners schedule load: 6 games in 7 days
Model projected score: Minnesota Twins 4.0 — Seattle Mariners 2.1
Model expected total: 6.0 vs line 9.0
Research & Stats
🔵 Connor Prielipp (home): ERA 4.5 | FIP 0.2 | K/9 13.5 | BB/9 0.0 | IP 4
🔴 Luis Castillo (away): ERA 5.01 | FIP 3.5 | K/9 9.0 | BB/9 3.5 | IP 23
Minnesota Twins offense: OPS 0.697 | AVG 0.227 | R/G 4.71
Seattle Mariners offense: OPS 0.702 | AVG 0.233 | R/G 4.07
Bullpen ERA — Minnesota Twins: 4.32 | Seattle Mariners: 3.52
Venue: Target Field — neutral park
⚕ Minnesota Twins — Cory Lewis (SP): DAY-TO-DAY
⚕ Minnesota Twins — Julian Merryweather (RP): DAY-TO-DAY
⚕ Minnesota Twins — Matt Canterino (SP): OUT
⚕ Seattle Mariners — Josh Naylor (1B): DAY-TO-DAY
⚕ Seattle Mariners — Teddy McGraw (SP): OUT
🌤 Weather (Minneapolis): 56°F | Wind 6 mph SE (blowing out) | Precip 100%
Model expected runs: Minnesota Twins 3.95 | Seattle Mariners 2.07
⚠ Minnesota Twins injury credibility cap applied — model probability anchored near market (50%)
Robinhood Action
Contract price (est.)¢50.6
Buy contracts22
Total cost (incl. commission)$11.58
Profit if win+$10.42
Loss if lose-$11.58
Expected value +$4.83
Los Angeles Angels ↓
MLB  Moneyline  ·  Los Angeles Angels @ Chicago White Sox
🕐 4:40 PM PDT
HIGH
Market
51.3%
Model
68.0%
Edge
+16.7%
Key Signals
Anthony Kay FIP: 6.15 | K/9: 5.6
Jack Kochanowicz FIP: 4.1 | K/9: 5.9
Chicago White Sox injury impact (-1.4%)
🌬️ Cross wind 13 mph (SE) at Chicago — minimal scoring impact
🌡️ Cool (58°F) at Chicago — slight run suppression (−0.2 runs)
⚠ Chicago White Sox schedule load: 6 games in 7 days
⚠ Los Angeles Angels schedule load: 6 games in 7 days
Model projected score: Chicago White Sox 4.1 — Los Angeles Angels 5.3
Research & Stats
🔵 Anthony Kay (home): ERA 5.57 | FIP 6.15 | K/9 5.6 | BB/9 5.1 | IP 21
🔴 Jack Kochanowicz (away): ERA 3.1 | FIP 4.1 | K/9 5.9 | BB/9 5.3 | IP 29
Chicago White Sox offense: OPS 0.688 | AVG 0.222 | R/G 4.04
Los Angeles Angels offense: OPS 0.728 | AVG 0.232 | R/G 4.79
Bullpen ERA — Chicago White Sox: 4.67 | Los Angeles Angels: 4.50
Venue: Rate Field — neutral park
⚕ Chicago White Sox — Mason Adams (RP): DAY-TO-DAY
⚕ Chicago White Sox — Tim Elko (1B): OUT
🌤 Weather (Chicago): 58°F | Wind 13 mph SE (cross wind) | Precip 0%
Model expected runs: Chicago White Sox 4.05 | Los Angeles Angels 5.32
Robinhood Action
Contract price (est.)¢51.3
Buy contracts14
Total cost (incl. commission)$7.47
Profit if win+$6.53
Loss if lose-$7.47
Expected value +$2.06
Toronto Blue Jays ↓
MLB  Moneyline  ·  Boston Red Sox @ Toronto Blue Jays
🕐 4:08 PM PDT
HIGH
Market
55.7%
Model
72.2%
Edge
+16.5%
Key Signals
Dylan Cease FIP: 1.37 | K/9: 15.7
Ranger Suarez FIP: 4.13 | K/9: 6.3
Toronto Blue Jays injury impact (-1.8%)
Boston Red Sox injury impact (-1.6%)
⚠ Toronto Blue Jays schedule load: 6 games in 7 days
⚠ Boston Red Sox schedule load: 7 games in 7 days
Model projected score: Toronto Blue Jays 4.3 — Boston Red Sox 2.5
Research & Stats
🔵 Dylan Cease (home): ERA 2.1 | FIP 1.37 | K/9 15.7 | BB/9 5.0 | IP 25
🔴 Ranger Suarez (away): ERA 4.0 | FIP 4.13 | K/9 6.3 | BB/9 2.7 | IP 27
Toronto Blue Jays offense: OPS 0.700 | AVG 0.255 | R/G 4.07
Boston Red Sox offense: OPS 0.669 | AVG 0.233 | R/G 4.18
Bullpen ERA — Toronto Blue Jays: 4.45 | Boston Red Sox: 4.38
Venue: Rogers Centre — neutral park
⚕ Toronto Blue Jays — CJ Stubbs (C): DAY-TO-DAY
⚕ Toronto Blue Jays — Geovanny Jesus Planchart (C): DAY-TO-DAY
⚕ Toronto Blue Jays — Chay Yeager (RP): OUT
⚕ Boston Red Sox — Brendan Rodgers (2B): OUT
⚕ Boston Red Sox — Hobie Harris (RP): DAY-TO-DAY
Model expected runs: Toronto Blue Jays 4.27 | Boston Red Sox 2.49
Robinhood Action
Contract price (est.)¢55.7
Buy contracts14
Total cost (incl. commission)$8.07
Profit if win+$5.93
Loss if lose-$8.07
Expected value +$2.03
2-Leg Parlays 2
Parlay #1 ↓
Combined prob: 56.5% · Edge: +46.6%
HIGH
Minnesota Timberwolves (Moneyline)
Minnesota Timberwolves @ Denver Nuggets · Model: 64.1% · Edge: +44.3%
Minnesota Timberwolves +11.5 (Spread)
Minnesota Timberwolves @ Denver Nuggets · Model: 88.2% · Edge: +37.9%
Robinhood Action
Parlay contract price (est.)¢10.0
Buy contracts52
Total cost$6.22
Profit if win+$45.78
Parlay #2 ↓
Combined prob: 76.1% · Edge: +47.4%
HIGH
Minnesota Timberwolves +11.5 (Spread)
Minnesota Timberwolves @ Denver Nuggets · Model: 88.2% · Edge: +37.9%
Minnesota Twins +1.5 (Spread)
Seattle Mariners @ Minnesota Twins · Model: 86.4% · Edge: +29.2%
Robinhood Action
Parlay contract price (est.)¢28.8
Buy contracts26
Total cost$8.00
Profit if win+$18.00
Props Watchlist — model projections only. No sportsbook line available. Search Robinhood manually before betting.
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander
NBA  Oklahoma City Thunder vs Phoenix Suns · Points Over
HIGH
Projected
32.7
Bet Over ≤
32
Signal
HIGH
Search 'Shai Gilgeous-Alexander points' on Robinhood. Model line: 32.7 pts. Look for Robinhood Over at or below 32.
Key Signals
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander season avg: 31.1 PPG
Phoenix Suns allows 111.1 PPG — above avg (weak defense)
🏆 Playoffs: star usage boost applied (+5%)
Research & Stats
Oklahoma City Thunder: 64W-18L | PPG 119.0 | OPPG 111.1 (opp) | Net +11.1
Phoenix Suns: 45W-37L | Net +1.5
Oklahoma City Thunder recent (14d): PPG 120.0 | OPPG 100.0 | Win% 100%
Model projected team pts: 117.0 (league avg 112.0)
Rest days — Oklahoma City Thunder: 1d | Phoenix Suns: 1d
Nikola Jokic
NBA  Denver Nuggets vs Minnesota Timberwolves · Rebounds Over
HIGH
Projected
12.9
Bet Over ≤
12
Signal
HIGH
Search 'Nikola Jokic rebounds' on Robinhood. Model line: 12.9 RPG season avg. Look for Over at or below 12.
Key Signals
Nikola Jokic averages 12.9 rebounds/game this season
Matchup pace supports rebounding volume
Research & Stats
Denver Nuggets: 54W-28L | PPG 122.1 | OPPG 114.6 (opp) | Net +5.2
Minnesota Timberwolves: 49W-33L | Net +3.4
Denver Nuggets recent (14d): PPG 105.5 | OPPG 112.2 | Win% 25%
Model projected team pts: 113.2 (league avg 112.0)
Rest days — Denver Nuggets: 1d | Minnesota Timberwolves: 1d
Rudy Gobert
NBA  Minnesota Timberwolves vs Denver Nuggets · Rebounds Over
HIGH
Projected
11.5
Bet Over ≤
11
Signal
HIGH
Search 'Rudy Gobert rebounds' on Robinhood. Model line: 11.5 RPG season avg. Look for Over at or below 11.
Key Signals
Rudy Gobert averages 11.5 rebounds/game this season
Matchup pace supports rebounding volume
Research & Stats
Minnesota Timberwolves: 49W-33L | PPG 118.0 | OPPG 116.9 (opp) | Net +3.4
Denver Nuggets: 54W-28L | Net +5.2
Minnesota Timberwolves recent (14d): PPG 112.2 | OPPG 105.5 | Win% 75%
Model projected team pts: 115.4 (league avg 112.0)
Rest days — Minnesota Timberwolves: 1d | Denver Nuggets: 1d
Nikola Jokic
NBA  Denver Nuggets vs Minnesota Timberwolves · Assists Over
HIGH
Projected
10.7
Bet Over ≤
10
Signal
HIGH
Search 'Nikola Jokic assists' on Robinhood. Model line: 10.7 APG season avg. Look for Over at or below 10.
Key Signals
Nikola Jokic averages 10.7 assists/game this season
High-scoring expected game supports assist volume
Research & Stats
Denver Nuggets: 54W-28L | PPG 122.1 | OPPG 114.6 (opp) | Net +5.2
Minnesota Timberwolves: 49W-33L | Net +3.4
Denver Nuggets recent (14d): PPG 105.5 | OPPG 112.2 | Win% 25%
Model projected team pts: 113.2 (league avg 112.0)
Rest days — Denver Nuggets: 1d | Minnesota Timberwolves: 1d
Jalen Duren
NBA  Detroit Pistons vs Orlando Magic · Rebounds Over
HIGH
Projected
10.5
Bet Over ≤
10
Signal
HIGH
Search 'Jalen Duren rebounds' on Robinhood. Model line: 10.5 RPG season avg. Look for Over at or below 10.
Key Signals
Jalen Duren averages 10.5 rebounds/game this season
Matchup pace supports rebounding volume
Research & Stats
Detroit Pistons: 60W-22L | PPG 117.8 | OPPG 115.1 (opp) | Net +8.2
Orlando Magic: 45W-37L | Net +0.6
Detroit Pistons recent (14d): PPG 101.3 | OPPG 102.7 | Win% 33%
Model projected team pts: 110.4 (league avg 112.0)
Rest days — Detroit Pistons: 1d | Orlando Magic: 1d
Cade Cunningham
NBA  Detroit Pistons vs Orlando Magic · Assists Over
HIGH
Projected
9.9
Bet Over ≤
9
Signal
HIGH
Search 'Cade Cunningham assists' on Robinhood. Model line: 9.9 APG season avg. Look for Over at or below 9.
Key Signals
Cade Cunningham averages 9.9 assists/game this season
High-scoring expected game supports assist volume
Research & Stats
Detroit Pistons: 60W-22L | PPG 117.8 | OPPG 115.1 (opp) | Net +8.2
Orlando Magic: 45W-37L | Net +0.6
Detroit Pistons recent (14d): PPG 101.3 | OPPG 102.7 | Win% 33%
Model projected team pts: 110.4 (league avg 112.0)
Rest days — Detroit Pistons: 1d | Orlando Magic: 1d
Mike Trout
MLB  Los Angeles Angels vs Chicago White Sox · Hits Over (1+)
HIGH
Projected
1.0
Bet Over ≤
1
Signal
HIGH
Search 'Mike Trout hits' on Robinhood. Look for Over 0.5 (1+ hits). Facing Anthony Kay (FIP 6.15).
Key Signals
Mike Trout: .232 AVG / .415 OBP this season (130 PA)
Anthony Kay FIP 6.15 — above avg (4.20), hitter-friendly matchup
Model projects ~3.7 total hits in 5.5 inn
Research & Stats
Anthony Kay: ERA 5.57 | FIP 6.15 | K/9 5.6 | BB/9 5.1 | HR/9 1.71
Season IP: 21 | Projected start: ~5.5 inn
Venue: Rate Field (park factor 1.00)
FIP 6.15 > 4.50 — hitter-favorable matchup
ERA-based hit estimate: ~3.7 hits in 5.5 inn
Zach Neto
MLB  Los Angeles Angels vs Chicago White Sox · Hits Over (1+)
HIGH
Projected
1.0
Bet Over ≤
1
Signal
HIGH
Search 'Zach Neto hits' on Robinhood. Look for Over 0.5 (1+ hits). Facing Anthony Kay (FIP 6.15).
Key Signals
Zach Neto: .243 AVG / .360 OBP this season (136 PA)
Anthony Kay FIP 6.15 — above avg (4.20), hitter-friendly matchup
Model projects ~3.7 total hits in 5.5 inn
Research & Stats
Anthony Kay: ERA 5.57 | FIP 6.15 | K/9 5.6 | BB/9 5.1 | HR/9 1.71
Season IP: 21 | Projected start: ~5.5 inn
Venue: Rate Field (park factor 1.00)
FIP 6.15 > 4.50 — hitter-favorable matchup
ERA-based hit estimate: ~3.7 hits in 5.5 inn
Dylan Cease
MLB  Toronto Blue Jays vs Boston Red Sox · Strikeouts Over
MEDIUM
Projected
9.6
Bet Over ≤
9
Signal
MEDIUM
Search 'Dylan Cease strikeouts' on Robinhood. Model: ~9.6 Ks in 5.5 inn. Look for Over at or below 9.
Key Signals
K/9: 15.7 → projects 9.6 Ks over 5.5 inn
FIP 1.37 (below league avg 4.20)
Season IP: 25 — limited sample
Research & Stats
Dylan Cease: ERA 2.10 | FIP 1.37 | K/9 15.7 | BB/9 5.0 | HR/9 0.00
Season IP: 25 | Projected start: ~5.5 inn
Venue: Rogers Centre (park factor 1.00)
Jack Leiter
MLB  Texas Rangers vs New York Yankees · Strikeouts Over
MEDIUM
Projected
6.4
Bet Over ≤
6
Signal
MEDIUM
Search 'Jack Leiter strikeouts' on Robinhood. Model: ~6.4 Ks in 5.5 inn. Look for Over at or below 6.
Key Signals
K/9: 10.4 → projects 6.4 Ks over 5.5 inn
FIP 3.76 (below league avg 4.20)
Season IP: 25 — limited sample
Research & Stats
Jack Leiter: ERA 4.97 | FIP 3.76 | K/9 10.4 | BB/9 3.9 | HR/9 1.08
Season IP: 25 | Projected start: ~5.5 inn
Venue: Globe Life Field (park factor 1.05)
Randy Vásquez
MLB  San Diego Padres vs Chicago Cubs · Strikeouts Over
MEDIUM
Projected
5.9
Bet Over ≤
5
Signal
MEDIUM
Search 'Randy Vásquez strikeouts' on Robinhood. Model: ~5.9 Ks in 5.5 inn. Look for Over at or below 5.
Key Signals
K/9: 9.6 → projects 5.9 Ks over 5.5 inn
FIP 2.38 (below league avg 4.20)
Season IP: 28 — limited sample
Research & Stats
Randy Vásquez: ERA 1.88 | FIP 2.38 | K/9 9.6 | BB/9 2.6 | HR/9 0.32
Season IP: 28 | Projected start: ~5.5 inn
Venue: Petco Park (park factor 0.93)
Chris Paddack
MLB  Miami Marlins vs Los Angeles Dodgers · Strikeouts Over
MEDIUM
Projected
5.7
Bet Over ≤
5
Signal
MEDIUM
Search 'Chris Paddack strikeouts' on Robinhood. Model: ~5.7 Ks in 5.5 inn. Look for Over at or below 5.
Key Signals
K/9: 9.4 → projects 5.7 Ks over 5.5 inn
FIP 4.58 (above league avg 4.20)
Season IP: 24 — limited sample
Research & Stats
Chris Paddack: ERA 6.38 | FIP 4.58 | K/9 9.4 | BB/9 2.2 | HR/9 1.88
Season IP: 24 | Projected start: ~5.5 inn
Venue: UNIQLO Field at Dodger Stadium (park factor 0.97)
Budget Allocation
# Bet & Game Edge
Score		 Qty Cost
Profit
1
Minnesota Timberwolves (Moneyline) ↑
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves @ Denver Nuggets
7:40 PM PDT
+44.3%
—
 66
14.0%
$14.03
+$51.97
2
Minnesota Timberwolves +11.5 (Spread) ↑
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves @ Denver Nuggets
7:40 PM PDT
+37.9%
—
 35
18.3%
$18.30
+$16.70
3
Under 9.0 (Total) ↑
MLB
Seattle Mariners @ Minnesota Twins
4:41 PM PDT
+23.6%
—
 22
11.6%
$11.58
+$10.42
4
Los Angeles Angels (Moneyline) ↑
MLB
Los Angeles Angels @ Chicago White Sox
4:40 PM PDT
+16.7%
—
 14
7.5%
$7.47
+$6.53
5
Toronto Blue Jays (Moneyline) ↑
MLB
Boston Red Sox @ Toronto Blue Jays
4:08 PM PDT
+16.5%
—
 14
8.1%
$8.07
+$5.93
P1
Minnesota Timberwolves (Moneyline) + Minnesota Timberwolves +11.5 (Spread) ↑
Parlay
Minnesota Timberwolves @ Denver Nuggets / Minnesota Timberwolves @ Denver Nuggets
+46.6%
—
 52
6.2%
$6.22
+$45.78
P2
Minnesota Timberwolves +11.5 (Spread) + Minnesota Twins +1.5 (Spread) ↑
Parlay
Minnesota Timberwolves @ Denver Nuggets / Seattle Mariners @ Minnesota Twins
+47.4%
—
 26
8.0%
$8.00
+$18.00
Deployed $73.67 / $100
Reserve (do not force bets) $26.33
Props Model Accuracy — how often the model's projection exceeded the actual stat
Props Settled
16
Model Hit Rate
37.5%
Avg Error
-3.1
Prop Type Settled Hit Rate Avg Proj Avg Actual Avg Error
Points Over 5 20.0% 27.7 19.6 -8.1
Rebounds Over 4 75.0% 11.9 12.0 +0.1
Assists Over 1 0.0% 10.7 9.0 -1.7
Strikeouts Over 6 33.3% 6.0 4.7 -1.3
HIGH confidence
75.0%
3H / 1M (4 settled)
MEDIUM confidence
25.0%
3H / 9M (12 settled)
Model Performance
Record
6W–5L
Win Rate
54.5%
Total PnL
$-4.38
ROI
-3.3%
By Confidence & Sport Each tile is an independent view — totals match the headline above
HIGH
5W–5L (50.0%)
$-5.32
MEDIUM
1W–0L (100.0%)
$+0.94
NBA
2W–2L (50.0%)
$-3.01
MLB
2W–3L (40.0%)
$-33.87
PARLAY
2W–0L (100.0%)
$+32.50
⚠ Only 11 settled bet(s) — need 30+ for statistically meaningful calibration.
▶ Trend Charts & Calibration (11 settled bets)
Cumulative PnL $-4.38 total
$+0 $-54 04-25 04-26 04-26
Rolling Win Rate (last 20 bets)
50% 100% 50% 0% 04-25 04-26 04-26
Edge Calibration Model win% vs actual win% — ideally these should align
Edge bucket Bets Model win% Actual win% Delta
3–8% 2 55.9% 100.0% +44.1%
15%+ 9 80.9% 44.4% -36.5%
Delta = Actual − Model. Green = outperforming model expectations. Red = underperforming. Meaningful only with 10+ bets per bucket.
Sports Betting Analysis System · Robinhood Contracts
For informational purposes only. Verify all contract prices on Robinhood before placing bets — prices shown are estimates based on DraftKings market odds. Never bet more than you can afford to lose.