| # | Bet & Game | Edge Score |
Qty | Cost Profit |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Colorado Rockies +1.5
MLB
New York Mets @ Colorado Rockies
|
+30.0%
—
|
28 14.8% |
$14.76
+$13.24
|
| 2 |
Under 215.5
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers @ New York Knicks
|
+22.4%
—
|
20 10.8% |
$10.85
+$9.15
|
| 3 |
Under 216.5
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers @ New York Knicks
|
+22.4%
—
|
22 11.9% |
$11.93
+$10.07
|
| 4 |
Houston Astros +1.5
MLB
Los Angeles Dodgers @ Houston Astros
|
+20.8%
—
|
16 7.7% |
$7.70
+$8.30
|
| 5 |
New York Knicks -10.5
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers @ New York Knicks
|
+15.6%
—
|
22 11.5% |
$11.53
+$10.47
|
| P1 |
New York Knicks (ML) + Colorado Rockies (ML)
Parlay
|
+26.6%
—
|
13 4.3% |
$4.32
+$8.68
|
| P2 |
New York Knicks (ML) + Under 216.5
Parlay
|
+31.7%
—
|
15 5.9% |
$5.94
+$9.06
|
| Prop Type | Settled | Hit Rate | Avg Proj | Avg Actual | Avg Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Points | 29 | 31.0% | 24.6 | 20.8 | -3.8 |
| Rebounds | 22 | 50.0% | 10.9 | 9.9 | -1.1 |
| Assists | 9 | 33.3% | 9.1 | 7.4 | -1.6 |
| Strikeouts | 21 | 47.6% | 6.2 | 5.0 | -1.1 |
| Hits | 24 | 75.0% | 1.0 | 1.3 | +0.3 |
| HRR | 4 | 25.0% | 4.0 | 0.8 | -3.2 |
| Total Bases | 1 | 0.0% | 5.2 | 0.0 | -5.2 |
| Edge bucket | Bets | Model win% | Actual win% | Delta |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3–8% | 3 | 55.0% | 100.0% | +45.0% |
| 8–15% | 9 | 57.5% | 50.0% | -7.5% |
| 15%+ | 60 | 69.1% | 56.7% | -12.4% |